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Growth for Grand Prix, Caution Flag for Peers

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The Daley Note: April 13, 2023

Recent tariff updates for Targa Resource’s (TRGP) Grand Prix NGL pipeline suggest the company could be taking business from competitors in the Delaware Basin.

Grand Prix has canceled shipping rates from the Crestwood (CEQP) Sendero plant in Eddy County, NM to the Lone Star and Sand Hills NGL pipelines, according to revised tariff schedules filed with the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC). Grand Prix is keeping the $3.67/bbl rate for moving NGLs from the Sendero plant to TRGP’s Mt. Belvieu storage and fractionation facilities.

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East Daley tracks the Grand Prix and Sendero assets in our TRGP and CEQP Financial Blueprints, and Y-grade flow on Grand Prix in our NGL Network Supply Model. The Sendero plant’s NGL production increased to over 25 Mb/d in late 2022 (refer to blue line in chart), signaling growth on the Targa pipeline above and beyond the overall growth rate in the Delaware Basin.

Crestwood’s newly acquired Sendero asset is not vertically integrated to the Gulf Coast, presenting an opportunity for Targa. TRGP can offer transport for producers behind Sendero, and also provide midstream services further downstream. NGL supply growth from the likes of ConocoPhillips (COP), Novo, Mewbourne, and Marathon (MRO) will benefit CEQP at the wellhead, and TRGP’s Grand Prix as a conduit to NGL storage, fracs and export facilities on the Gulf Coast.

The magnitude of growth is reflected in our Energy Data Studio asset profile for the Sendero system, which currently has 3 active rigs. While we do not know how much NGL volume currently flows down Sand Hills and Lone Star, there is potential risk to legacy volumes through the effective tariff date of May 5, 2023. – Rob Wilson Tickers: CEQP, COP, MRO, TRGP.



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East Daley Analytics will be participating at the LDC Gas Forums Southeast in Savannah, GA on April 12-14. Rob Wilson, VP of Product, will be speaking on April 12 to cover East Daley’s outlook on the natural gas market and fundamentals.

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