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Assets
The Energy Data Studio platform’s interactive dashboard allows users to easily navigate weekly, monthly, and quarterly updates to individual producers, midstream assets, and midstream company financials, providing flexibility for working with data. It is available through data downloads from the visual interface, in Excel files, or as direct data delivered into subscribers’ workflow via secure file transfer.
Energy Transfer (ET) released earnings on Feb. 15, and while the company beat both East Daley and consensus expectations, 2023 guidance came in well below our forecast. We trace the discrepancy to ET’s exposure to falling natural gas prices.
ET guided to 2023 Adj. EBITDA of $12.9-$13.3 billion, well below East Daley’s estimate of $13.4 billion in our company Financial Blueprint. Our forecast was based on our last Blueprint model released mid-January, when the forward Henry Hub price still averaged $4.26/MMBtu for 2023.
Henry Hub futures have fallen sharply in 2023 on a combination of mild winter weather and strong supply growth. As of Feb. 17, the forward curve averaged $2.86/MMBtu for the year, a 33% drop from our mid-January update ahead of the 4Q22 report.
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